Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?

will-the-greens-win-over-15-of-the-vote-in-the-german-election

$684,352 Vol. Ends Dec 31, 2025

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alliance 90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) wins over 15% of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).