Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
will-israel-strike-lebanon-on
$8,491,348 Vol.
Ends Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanon ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Lebanon territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets
64 markets
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
$71,623 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?
$11,021 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
$6,057 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
$152 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?
$128 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?
$81 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?
$42 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?
$28 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?
$27 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?
$26 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?
$7 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?
$5 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?
$5 Vol.
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
$4,021,935 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
$728,964 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
$254,973 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?
$228,007 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?
$189,996 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
$168,198 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
$163,961 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
$152,234 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
$133,642 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
$129,893 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?
$128,822 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
$118,320 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
$105,391 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
$101,053 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?
$98,133 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
$96,908 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?
$88,793 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
$85,260 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
$84,378 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?
$83,226 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
$80,522 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
$72,916 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
$69,807 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
$66,799 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
$61,486 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
$59,674 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?
$57,545 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
$55,553 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
$53,984 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
$49,142 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
$45,758 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
$43,531 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
$41,620 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
$41,324 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?
$40,611 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
$36,978 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?
$34,253 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?
$32,733 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?
$30,550 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
$30,122 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
$28,740 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?
$25,567 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
$24,426 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?
$23,012 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
$22,529 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?
$21,960 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?
$20,350 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
$18,887 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?
$16,646 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?
$16,645 Vol.
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?
$16,399 Vol.
Closed
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