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polymarket Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
will-israel-strike-lebanon-on
Event detail
Start
2025-10-29 02:10
End
2025-12-21 00:00
Volume (all time)
$8,240,667.65
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanon ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Lebanon territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets
54 markets
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
Volume: $1,260 7d: $1,260 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Volume: $15 7d: $15 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?
Volume: $233 7d: $233 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?
Volume: $88,793 7d: $88,793 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Volume: $36,978 7d: $35,662 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
Volume: $41,324 7d: $41,287 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?
Volume: $16,646 7d: $16,495 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
Volume: $53,984 7d: $53,984 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Volume: $163 7d: $163 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?
Volume: $12,313 7d: $11,874 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?
Volume: $63 7d: $35 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
Volume: $1,227 7d: $1,208 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
Volume: $43,531 7d: $35,805 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?
Volume: $16,399 7d: $16,399 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
Volume: $28,740 7d: $28,740 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
Volume: $22,529 7d: $22,529 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?
Volume: $32,733 7d: $32,522 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
Volume: $129,893 7d: $129,893 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
Volume: $61,486 7d: $61,385 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Volume: $118,320 7d: $118,319 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?
Volume: $30,550 7d: $30,479 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?
Volume: $16,645 7d: $16,197 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
Volume: $79,227 7d: $79,020 Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
Volume: $101,053 7d: $100,977 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Volume: $4,021,935 7d: $4,021,935 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?
Volume: $23,012 7d: $23,012 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
Volume: $96,908 7d: $96,904 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?
Volume: $98,133 7d: $98,133 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Volume: $49,142 7d: $47,240 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
Volume: $72,916 7d: $72,284 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?
Volume: $25,567 7d: $25,567 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
Volume: $85,260 7d: $85,260 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
Volume: $80,522 7d: $80,492 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
Volume: $24,426 7d: $24,426 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
Volume: $66,799 7d: $66,799 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?
Volume: $57,545 7d: $57,545 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?
Volume: $228,007 7d: $228,007 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
Volume: $152,234 7d: $152,234 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?
Volume: $83,226 7d: $83,226 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Volume: $728,964 7d: $726,348 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?
Volume: $189,996 7d: $188,065 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
Volume: $163,961 7d: $163,961 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
Volume: $168,198 7d: $168,101 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
Volume: $69,807 7d: $69,802 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?
Volume: $128,822 7d: $128,042 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?
Volume: $40,611 7d: $36,665 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
Volume: $133,642 7d: $133,642 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Volume: $105,391 7d: $103,000 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Volume: $254,973 7d: $254,760 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
Volume: $41,620 7d: $40,447 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
Volume: $18,887 7d: $18,887 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
Volume: $30,122 7d: $30,100 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
Volume: $45,758 7d: $45,758 Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?
Volume: $20,350 7d: $19,807 Closed