Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
will-israel-strike-lebanon-on
Start
2025-10-29 02:10
End
2025-12-21 00:00
Volume (all time)
$8,240,667.65
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanon ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Lebanon territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets
54 markets
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?
Volume: $1,260
7d: $1,260
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Volume: $15
7d: $15
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?
Volume: $233
7d: $233
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?
Volume: $88,793
7d: $88,793
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Volume: $36,978
7d: $35,662
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
Volume: $41,324
7d: $41,287
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?
Volume: $16,646
7d: $16,495
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
Volume: $53,984
7d: $53,984
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Volume: $163
7d: $163
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?
Volume: $12,313
7d: $11,874
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?
Volume: $63
7d: $35
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
Volume: $1,227
7d: $1,208
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
Volume: $43,531
7d: $35,805
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 1?
Volume: $16,399
7d: $16,399
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
Volume: $28,740
7d: $28,740
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?
Volume: $22,529
7d: $22,529
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?
Volume: $32,733
7d: $32,522
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
Volume: $129,893
7d: $129,893
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
Volume: $61,486
7d: $61,385
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Volume: $118,320
7d: $118,319
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?
Volume: $30,550
7d: $30,479
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?
Volume: $16,645
7d: $16,197
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
Volume: $79,227
7d: $79,020
Active
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?
Volume: $101,053
7d: $100,977
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Volume: $4,021,935
7d: $4,021,935
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?
Volume: $23,012
7d: $23,012
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 19?
Volume: $96,908
7d: $96,904
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 16?
Volume: $98,133
7d: $98,133
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Volume: $49,142
7d: $47,240
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
Volume: $72,916
7d: $72,284
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 15?
Volume: $25,567
7d: $25,567
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?
Volume: $85,260
7d: $85,260
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
Volume: $80,522
7d: $80,492
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
Volume: $24,426
7d: $24,426
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
Volume: $66,799
7d: $66,799
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?
Volume: $57,545
7d: $57,545
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?
Volume: $228,007
7d: $228,007
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 2?
Volume: $152,234
7d: $152,234
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 3?
Volume: $83,226
7d: $83,226
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Volume: $728,964
7d: $726,348
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?
Volume: $189,996
7d: $188,065
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
Volume: $163,961
7d: $163,961
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
Volume: $168,198
7d: $168,101
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
Volume: $69,807
7d: $69,802
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?
Volume: $128,822
7d: $128,042
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?
Volume: $40,611
7d: $36,665
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
Volume: $133,642
7d: $133,642
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?
Volume: $105,391
7d: $103,000
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Volume: $254,973
7d: $254,760
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?
Volume: $41,620
7d: $40,447
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
Volume: $18,887
7d: $18,887
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?
Volume: $30,122
7d: $30,100
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
Volume: $45,758
7d: $45,758
Closed
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?
Volume: $20,350
7d: $19,807
Closed