Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

will-an-open-source-ai-model-be-top-i-n-2025

$34,880 Vol. Ends Dec 31, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any open source model has one of three highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an open source model is tied with another model for a top three arena score, this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable this market will resolve based on another resolution source.