Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-before-2027

$6,499 Vol. Ends Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.