Polyme

$698,351 Vol. Ends Apr 02, 2025

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. government will impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country on April 2, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting a named country will qualify. For example, a tariff on the European Union would not count for France. Likewise, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the US) will not count toward this market's resolution. Announcements that tariffs which were previously delayed will go into effect, including the March 4 tariffs on Canada and Mexico, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a “secondary tariff” on countries purchasing from a listed country will qualify solely for the origin country unless the purchasing country is explicitly named. For example, a tariff on any country purchasing oil from Venezuela will qualify the market for Venezuela to resolve “Yes” but will not count as a tariff on the countries purchasing Venezuelan oil unless they are explicitly named. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.