Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
which-companys-ai-will-first-hit-1500-on-chatbot-arena-by-june-30
$215,692 Vol.
Ends Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Markets
32 markets
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$59,154 Vol.
Active
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$42,342 Vol.
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Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$38,156 Vol.
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Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$22,769 Vol.
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Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$18,777 Vol.
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Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$10,961 Vol.
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Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$8,678 Vol.
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Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$8,036 Vol.
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Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$6,819 Vol.
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Will a company not listed here be the first to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company D be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company H be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company L be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company P be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company T be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company X be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company F be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company J be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company N be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company R be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company V be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company G be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company K be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company O be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company S be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company W be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company E be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company I be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company M be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company Q be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
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Will Company U be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$0 Vol.
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Will Company Y be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
$0 Vol.
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