Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year
Start
2025-01-27 18:49
End
2025-12-31 12:00
Volume (all time)
$1,715,778.23
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed modelI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Markets
10 markets
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $17,240
7d: $2,703
Active
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $56,887
Closed
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $274,164
7d: $11,465
Active
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $211,100
Closed
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $573,710
7d: $44,171
Active
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $139,989
7d: $9,524
Active
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $126,886
7d: $7,348
Active
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $107,545
7d: $947
Active
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $166,917
7d: $8,283
Active
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?
Volume: $41,340
7d: $7,400
Active