Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff
$60,440 Vol.
Ends Oct 04, 2026
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Markets
6 markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$28,525 Vol.
Active
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$11,692 Vol.
Active
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$9,652 Vol.
Active
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$7,310 Vol.
Active
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$1,955 Vol.
Active
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
$1,305 Vol.
Active
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