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polymarket October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
October 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
october-2025-temperature-increase-c-577
$321,586 Vol. Ends Nov 11, 2025
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2025 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for October 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2025 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Markets
6 markets
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in October 2025?
$43,029 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?
$69,690 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?
$50,015 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in October 2025?
$72,542 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?
$42,489 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?
$43,820 Vol. Closed
No pricing
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