NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV
nyc-mayoral-dem-primary-mamdani-mov
$2,815,125 Vol.
Ends Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.
For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Markets
7 markets
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$757,996 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$718,799 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$460,145 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$411,522 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$205,230 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$155,981 Vol.
Closed
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
$105,452 Vol.
Closed
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