Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
next-three-fed-decisions-847
Start
2025-11-04 17:20
End
2026-03-18 00:00
Volume (all time)
$219,553.28
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: December 9–10, 2025; January 27–28, 2026; and March 17-18, 2026.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
If no statement is released for the March 2026 meeting by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
9 markets
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $12,985
7d: $5,835
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $12,224
7d: $2,719
Active
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $93,636
7d: $23,323
Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $17,102
7d: $9,953
Closed
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $6,800
7d: $1,998
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $7,363
7d: $1,954
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $30,607
7d: $5,002
Active
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $19,540
7d: $11,074
Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Volume: $19,297
7d: $10,169
Closed