Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
next-three-fed-decisions
Start
2025-09-30 23:36
End
2026-01-31 00:00
Volume (all time)
$489,171.60
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
7 markets
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $90,909
7d: $5,305
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $69,258
7d: $13,125
Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $151,418
7d: $15,343
Closed
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $28,660
7d: $2,912
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $72,479
7d: $10,742
Active
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $44,099
7d: $8,355
Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $32,349
7d: $17,767
Closed