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polymarket Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
next-three-fed-decisions
Event detail
Start
2025-09-30 23:36
End
2026-01-31 00:00
Volume (all time)
$489,171.60
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 28–29, 2025; December 9–10, 2025; and January 27–28, 2026. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the January 2026 meeting by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
7 markets
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $90,909 7d: $5,305 Active
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $69,258 7d: $13,125 Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $151,418 7d: $15,343 Closed
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $28,660 7d: $2,912 Active
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $72,479 7d: $10,742 Active
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $44,099 7d: $8,355 Closed
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Volume: $32,349 7d: $17,767 Closed