July 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
july-2025-temperature-increase-c-513
$2,041,647 Vol.
Ends Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for July 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for July 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Markets
6 markets
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?
$191,970 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?
$475,004 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?
$513,093 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?
$238,723 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
$358,303 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?
$264,555 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
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