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polymarket August 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
August 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
july-2025-temperature-increase-c-394
$647,557 Vol. Ends Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for August 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2025 is provided by NASA by November 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Markets
6 markets
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in August 2025?
$45,365 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90ºC and 0.94ºC in August 2025?
$48,912 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?
$109,233 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?
$233,340 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?
$95,995 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?
$114,712 Vol. Closed
No pricing
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