Polyme

$98,592 Vol. Ends Dec 31, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Qatari soil between September 3, 11:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "military action" includes any use of kinetic force, or intelligence/special operation executed by the Israeli military on Qatari soil (e.g. if a weapons depot on Qatari soil is hit by a Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. If a qualifying military action is widely attributed to Israel, this market may resolve to "Yes" even if the action is not officially confirmed/acknowledged by the Israeli government. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.