Polyme

$862,179 Vol. Ends Jun 24, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Qatari soil on June 23, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact Qatari ground territory. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Qatari territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, or hostile actions by proxies will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting