How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2026
$2,064 Vol.
Ends Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets
8 markets
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$489 Vol.
Active
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$374 Vol.
Active
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$344 Vol.
Active
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$262 Vol.
Active
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$213 Vol.
Active
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$163 Vol.
Active
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$117 Vol.
Active
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
$103 Vol.
Active
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