How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823
$369 Vol.
Ends Dec 31, 2026
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markets
10 markets
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?
$61 Vol.
Active
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?
$46 Vol.
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Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
$42 Vol.
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Will Trump deport 500-600k people?
$39 Vol.
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Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
$38 Vol.
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Will Trump deport 800-900k people?
$31 Vol.
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Will Trump deport 700-800k people?
$30 Vol.
Active
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
$28 Vol.
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Will Trump deport 300-400k people?
$26 Vol.
Active
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?
$26 Vol.
Active
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