How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026
$1,144,809 Vol.
Ends Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Markets
13 markets
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$120,180 Vol.
Active
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
$116,490 Vol.
Active
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$114,968 Vol.
Active
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$102,081 Vol.
Active
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$97,096 Vol.
Active
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$87,479 Vol.
Active
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$84,329 Vol.
Active
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$84,181 Vol.
Active
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$75,037 Vol.
Active
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$67,469 Vol.
Active
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$67,035 Vol.
Active
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$64,716 Vol.
Active
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$63,749 Vol.
Active
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