How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
how-many-democratic-house-members-not-running-in-2026
$5,706 Vol.
Ends Aug 31, 2026
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets
7 markets
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?
$4,076 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
$633 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
$339 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
$316 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?
$186 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
$94 Vol.
Active
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?
$64 Vol.
Active
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