How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30
$371,194 Vol.
Ends Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markets
9 markets
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$71,044 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$54,175 Vol.
Active
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$36,600 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$28,048 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$16,310 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$15,765 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$12,588 Vol.
Active
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$111,484 Vol.
Closed
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
$25,181 Vol.
Closed
Metadata