How low will Trump's approval rating go before August?
how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-before-august
$858,825 Vol.
Ends Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 14 and July 31 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for July 31 is not published by August 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Markets
5 markets
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?
$178,086 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?
$29,377 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?
$139,285 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will Trump's approval rating hit 45% before August?
$12,372 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?
$499,706 Vol.
Closed
No pricing
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