Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
gemini-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-november-30
Start
2025-11-04 20:31
End
2026-01-31 00:00
Volume (all time)
$198,141.22
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets
4 markets
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Volume: $59,980
7d: $2,599
Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Volume: $47,608
7d: $4,976
Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Volume: $44,575
7d: $1,532
Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Volume: $45,978
7d: $2,279
Active