Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?
gemini-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-november-30
$212,934 Vol.
Ends Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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4 markets
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
$67,982 Vol.
Active
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
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