Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?

fed-derivative-no-change-or-25bps-cut-favored-on-friday

$20,714 Vol. Ends Nov 28, 2025

This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25bps cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Friday, November 28, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 28, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.