Polyme

$5,748,305 Vol. Ends Mar 31, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, specifically covering energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A general ceasefire agreement which covers all theaters of war will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the ceasefire goes into effect. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine specifically addressing energy infrastructure has been reached will suffice.