ECB Interest Rates: September 2025
ecb-interest-rates-september-2025
Start
2025-07-24 17:53
End
2025-09-11 00:00
Volume (all time)
$2,262,123.22
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) September 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its September 11, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the September 11, 2025 meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by October 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Markets
4 markets
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
Volume: $969,488
7d: $402,629
Closed
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?
Volume: $371,454
7d: $206,253
Closed
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Volume: $397,307
7d: $243,536
Closed
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?
Volume: $523,874
7d: $202,489
Closed