ECB Interest Rates: December 2025
ecb-interest-rates-december-2025
Start
2025-10-30 18:54
End
2025-12-18 00:00
Volume (all time)
$1,975,143.92
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) December 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its December 18, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the December 18, 2025, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Markets
4 markets
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
Volume: $862,986
7d: $151,319
Active
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?
Volume: $145,247
7d: $48,993
Active
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
Volume: $486,612
7d: $332,273
Active
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?
Volume: $480,298
7d: $82,821
Active