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polymarket December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
december-2025-temperature-increase-c
Event detail
Start
2025-12-10 23:28
End
2026-01-10 00:00
Volume (all time)
$50,309.72
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for December 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for December 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Markets
6 markets
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $5,446 7d: $5,446 Active
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $2,115 7d: $1,915 Active
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $2,580 7d: $2,580 Active
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $2,609 7d: $2,609 Active
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $2,116 7d: $2,116 Active
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?
Volume: $35,444 7d: $35,444 Active