Chile Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round
chile-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-second-round
Start
2025-11-18 20:26
End
2026-01-31 00:00
Volume (all time)
$2,012,796.74
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in this round of the Chilean Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).
Markets
9 markets
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?
Volume: $242,159
7d: $174,801
Active
Will Kast win by less than 5%?
Volume: $111,177
7d: $93,076
Closed
Will Jara win by less than 5%?
Volume: $85,897
7d: $61,843
Closed
Will Jara win by at least 5%?
Volume: $99,379
7d: $78,440
Closed
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?
Volume: $165,100
7d: $143,151
Closed
Will the results of the election not be known by June 30?
Volume: $0
Inactive
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?
Volume: $233,735
7d: $200,104
Active
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
Volume: $216,128
7d: $177,834
Active
Will Kast win by at least 25%?
Volume: $862,722
7d: $827,153
Closed