Canada Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
canada-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory
$5,626,453 Vol.
Ends Oct 20, 2025
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve to according to the popular vote margin of victory.
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the party that wins the most votes and the second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If neither the Conservative or Liberal win the most votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
11 markets
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
$1,002,694 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
$799,994 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
$632,661 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
$614,690 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
$497,004 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
$416,385 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
$414,492 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
$402,167 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
$387,321 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
$357,681 Vol.
Closed
Will another party win the Canadian election?
$101,363 Vol.
Closed
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