Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?
canada-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
$5,340,681 Vol.
Ends Apr 28, 2025
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the House of Commons between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Canadian general election (e.g. Liberals control 190, Conservatives control 100, difference = 90).
If neither the Conservative nor Liberal party win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Markets
11 markets
Will another party win the most seats?
$4,310,752 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 150 or more seats?
$235,845 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 50–74 seats?
$152,529 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win by 50 or more seats?
$123,620 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?
$103,117 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?
$94,288 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?
$90,576 Vol.
Closed
Will the Conservative Party win by 0–24 seats?
$83,559 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 125–149 seats?
$60,075 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 100–124 seats?
$57,957 Vol.
Closed
Will the Liberal Party win by 75–99 seats?
$28,361 Vol.
Closed
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