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polymarket Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory
Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory
bolivia-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-945
$3,138,760 Vol. Ends Oct 19, 2025
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markets
11 markets
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?
$183,979 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
$818,336 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
$351,206 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?
$106,891 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?
$99,456 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?
$192,033 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will another candidate win Bolivian Election?
$51,981 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?
$209,555 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?
$133,848 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
$859,520 Vol. Closed
No pricing
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?
$131,956 Vol. Closed
No pricing
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