Australia Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?
australia-election-of-seats-margin-of-victory
$552,244 Vol.
Ends May 03, 2025
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30).
If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Markets
10 markets
Will the Coalition win by 30 or more seats?
$351,899 Vol.
Closed
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?
$87,866 Vol.
Closed
Will the Labor Party win by 30–39 seats?
$48,255 Vol.
Closed
Will the Coalition win by 1–9 seats?
$16,734 Vol.
Closed
Will the Labor Party win by 20–29 seats?
$15,340 Vol.
Closed
Will the Labor Party win by 1–9 seats?
$14,614 Vol.
Closed
Will the Labor Party win by 10–19 seats?
$8,891 Vol.
Closed
Will the Coalition win by 10–19 seats?
$4,032 Vol.
Closed
Will another party or independent win the most seats?
$3,244 Vol.
Closed
Will the Coalition win by 20–29 seats?
$1,368 Vol.
Closed
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